Big burden on “final” third

Chronologically the wet season has one full month to go.

Meteorologically, we’re closer to half way there.

This bar chart displays south Florida wide rainfall from 1998 to present using major summer holidays to break the wet season into thirds.  Rainfall was below normal for the first and second thirds of this wet season.  That puts a large burden on the final third to produce (Super El Niño not withstanding).

September is the last full month of the wet season.

By wet season I mean the regular pattern of afternoon storms.

October starts off with that pattern,

But just a week or two in rainless skies usually prevail.

Our only hope after that are tropical events,

Or quite possible a Super El Niño, too.

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