The swamp looks as though it’s peaked.
That means its predominant direction for the next half year will be down.
Mesic then hydric pines will be the first to go dry, probably later this fall. By mid winter the marl prairies will follow course. Cypress domes and strands should hang onto water into March. By April, even the pond apple forests and marshes will start to go dry. Last year the relatively minuscule dry season refugia pools held onto water even in the deepest driest part of May — the alligators liked that — but can you see in the hydrograph above how in May and June of 2011 even they went dry.
The dry season also has aperiodic continental fronts.
Their unreliable rain is the swamp’s only hope
for keeping its winter water table up.